EUROFRAME News

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EUROFRAME Report Winter 2015/2016

The 2016 EUROFRAME Economic Assessment of the Euro Area report has been released.

Economic growth in the euro area is expected to moderately accelerate to 1.8 per cent in both 2016 and 2017 supported by strong monetary stimulus, a competitive exchange rate, the absence of significant fiscal restraint and a persistently lower oil price. The report provides an analysis of the situation in the oil market and the economic effects of lower oil prices and includes boxes on the impact of the wave of refugees currently entering the EU on structural reforms in France.

The report can be downloaded here (PDF).

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Euro Growth Indicator January 2016

Increased risks do not substantially reduce the outlook for growth in the euro area for the time being

GDP growth in the euro area will be rather sustained at the turn of 2015 and 2016 despite an apparent increase in external risks, according to the EUROGROWTH indicator calculated by the EUROFRAME group in January 2016. The expected quarter-to-quarter growth rates remain 0.7 per cent for the fourth quarter of 2015 and 0.5 percent for the first quarter of 2016. On a year-over-year basis, GDP growth would reach 1.9 per cent, which means an acceleration from the 1.6 percent currently estimated by Eurostat for the third quarter of 2015.

More information on this topic on our Euro Growth Indicator section.

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Euro Growth Indicator December 2015

Euro area growth continues strong

Euro area growth is expected to be strong in the winter quarters 2015-2016, according to the December EUROGROWTH Indicator. The Indicator points to 0.7 per cent growth for the fourth quarter of 2015, which is unchanged from the November estimate. The first estimate for the first quarter growth in 2016 is a bit lower at 0.5 per cent. In year-on-year terms, the growth rates for the two forecast quarters are both 1.8 per cent, which would be the strongest growth since the summer of 2011.

More information on this topic on our Euro Growth Indicator section.

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EUROFRAME Conference 2016: Call for Papers

The 13th EUROFRAME Conference on Economic Policy Issues in the European Union will be held on 10 June 2016 in Utrecht (the Netherlands). The conference will deal with "Balance sheets misalignments: Effects and policy implications for the EU economies". Submissions deadline: 15 February 2016.

The call for papers has been released and can be downloaded here (PDF).

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