PS A1

9.15 - 11.00

Parallel Session A1

Wages and profits in inflation episodes (Amphi Erignac)

Chair: Xavier Timbeau, OFCE

Firming up inflation
Philip Bunn, Bank of England, Lena S. Anayi, Bank of England, Nicholas Bloom, Stanford University, Paul Mizen, University of Nottingham, Gregory Thwaites, University of Nottingham, Ivan Yotzov, Bank of England

Wage and profit rule in time of import price inflation
Heike Joebges, Janis Jurgeleit, Camille Logeay, HTW Berlin

Wages and profits in times of high inflation in the euro area
François Geerolf, OFCE

Discussant: Josef Baumgartner, WIFO

Conference room: Amphi Erignac

PS A2

9.15- 11.00

Parallel session A2
Inflation and monetary policy

Chair: Päivi Puonti, ETLA

The distributional consequences of a central bank’s price index choice
Paula Bejarano Carbo, NIESR

Distributional spillover effects of US monetary policy
Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, DIW Berlin, Ben Schumann, DIW Berlin and Freie Universität Berlin, Jana Wittich, DIW Berlin and Freie Universität Berlin

Euro area inflation and a new measure of inflation
Claudio Morana, University of Milano-Bicocca, Center for European Studies (CefES), Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (RCEA-Europe ETS, RCEA-HQ), Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies (CeRP)

Discussion: Henri Sterdyniak

Conference room: Room J211

PS B1

11.20 - 13.00

Parallel Session B1
Distributional impacts of inflation

Chair: Catherine Mathieu, OFCE and EUROFRAME

The macroeconomic effect of the UK’s 2022 cost-of-living payments
Max A. Mosley, Edmund Cornforth, NIESR

Energy price increases and mitigation policies: Redistributive effects on Italian households
Andrea Bonfatti, Prometeia, Elena Giarda, Prometeia and Cefin (University of Modena and Reggio Emilia)   

Inflation and its impact on different social groups: The case of the Czech Republic      Presentation
Adunts Davit, Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Filip Mandys, Research Institute for Labour and Social Affairs (RILSA), Prague, European Investment Fund (IEF), Luxembourg, Robin Maialeh, Research Institute for Labour and Social Affairs (RILSA) Prague

Discussants: Edmund Cornforth, NIESR, Elena Giarda, Prometeia, Robin Maialeh, RILSA

Conference room: Amphi Erignac

PS B2

11.20 - 13.00

Parallel Session B2
Firms’ behaviour

Chair: Sarah Guillou, OFCE

Russia-Ukraine war: A note on short-run production and labour market effects of the energy crisis
Christian Hutter, Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, and Enzo Weber, Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, University of Regensburg

European insolvency procedures and firm leverage
Fien van Solinge and Beau Soederhuizen, CPBs

Predicting firm exits with machine learning: Implications for selection into COVID-19 support and productivity growth
Lily Davies, CPB, Mark Kattenberg, CPB, Benedikt Vogt, CPB and Erasmus University Rotterdam   (the paper can be downloaded from the CPB home page https://www.cpb.nl/en/predicting-firm-exits-with-machine-learning )

Discussant: Christian Hutter, IAB, Fien van Solinge, CPB, Benedikt Vogt, CPB

Conference room: Room J211

PS C1

14.20 - 16.00

Parallel session C1
Inflation factors

Chair: Marek Dabrowski, CASE

Real exchange rate and international reserves in the era of financial integration     Presentation
Joshua Aizenman, University of Southern California, Sy-Hoa Ho, VNU University of Economics and Business, Luu Duc Toan Huynh, Queen Mary University of London, Jamel Saadaoui, BETA, CNRS, University of Strasbourg, Gazi Salah Uddin, Department of Management and Engineering, Linköping University

The effects of government spending under trend inflation: theory and empirics
Ernil Sabaj, University of Warwick

Prices and inflation in global value chains - A global inflation-to-output price elasticity database with applications
Krisztián Koppány, Széchenyi István University, Győr, Péter Vakhal, Kopint-Tárki Institute for Economic Research, Corvinus University of Budapest, and Pál Pusztai, Széchenyi István University, Győr

Discussant: Gerdien Meijerink, CPB and EUROFRAME

Conference room: Amphi Erignac

PS C2

14.20 - 16.00

Parallel session C2
Inflation factors

Chair: tba

The false start of disinflation     Presentation
Jakub Rybacki, Polish Economic Institute

Supply and demand factors driving rising inflation in Italy
Daniela Fantozzi, Davide Zurlo, Italian Statistical Institute (Istat)

Discussant: Andrea Bonfatti, Prometeia

Conference room: Room J211

rt

16.20 - 18.10

Round Table

Chair: Xavier Ragot, OFCE

Josef Baumgartner, WIFO

Lorenzo Forni, Prometeia Associazione

Gregory Thwaites, Nottingham University

Conference room: Amphi Erignac