News 2018

The 15th Euroframe June conference dealing with Economic Policies and Political Economy in the EU after the Crisis to be held in Milan on June 8th 2018 is approaching. 

Forms for registration for the conference and for accommodation in the conference Hotel are available on the conference page. The preliminary Programme will follow soon.


Economic momentum in the euro area seems to have peaked

Growth in the euro area has been robust in the first quarter of 2018, but is poised to decelerate markedly in the second quarter, according to the April Euro Growth Indicator. The first quarter GDP forecast is 0.6 per cent, on par with Eurostat growth estimate for the fourth quarter 2017, whereas the Indicator's second quarter estimate of 0.3 per cent suggests that the euro area is about to experience noticeably slower growth in the months to come.

More information on this topic on our Euro Growth Indicator section.

Euro Growth Indicator shows continued growth for the first half of 2018

The March Euro Growth Indicator suggests that in the first quartereuro area GDP will continue to grow at a quarter-on-quarter rate of 0.6 per cent. This implies a year-on-year growth rate of 2.7 per cent,  close to the Eurostat flash estimate for growth in the last quarter of 2017. According to the first estimate for the second quarter euro area growth would be somewhat slower at 0.4 per cent and  2.4 per cent, respectively.

More information on this topic on our Euro Growth Indicator section.

The 2018 EUROFRAME Economic Assessment of the Euro Area report has been released.

This Euroframe Report presents an assessment of the economic outlook for 2018 and 2019 focused on the euro area based on a synopsis of the forecasts of Euroframe institutes. Economic activity in the euro area has gained momentum and the upturn is expected to continue with GDP rising by 2.3 per cent and 1.8 per cent in 2017 and 2018, respectively. The report also contains brief country notes summarizing the individual institute’s own country forecasts. In the Focus section, against the backdrop of the progressing recovery, the cyclical position of individual countries and the major remaining macroeconomic imbalances are discussed, based on work done in the Euroframe institutes.

The report can be downloaded here (PDF).