s1
9:10 - 10.40
Parallel Session A1 (Braamzaal & Zeedistelzaal (downstairs))
Artificial Intelligence
Chair: Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Kiel Institut
Artificial Intelligence and Bank Profitability: What Really Matters?
Paolo Nicola Barbieri, Alessandra Bettocchi, Andrea Fabrizi, Rita Romeo, Prometeia Spa
Does Artificial Intelligence Enhance Productivity: Firm-Level Evidence from a Small Open Economy
Iulia Siedschlag, Juan Duran, The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), Trinity College Dublin
Developments in Artificial Intelligence Markets - New Indicators based on Model Characteristics, Prices and Providers
Christophe André, Manuel Bétin, Peter Gal, Paul Peltier, OECD
Discussant: Gerdien Meijerink, CPB
s2
9:10 - 10.40
Parallel Session A2 (Helmgraszaal (downstairs))
Global Value Chains (I)
Chair: Sandra Bilek-Steindl, WIFO
Economic Growth in Global Value Chains - Lessons from the Golden Age with a New Input-Output Decomposition Framework and Database
Krisztián Koppány, Széchenyi István University, Győr; Péter Vakhal, Corvinus University, Budapest
Growth in Chains: EU Value Chain Productivity and its Slowdown
Tero Kuusi, Sakari Lähdemäki, ETLA
Product Relatedness and Latent Production Potential of Green Goods in the EU: Evidence from International Trade Flows
Andrea Brasilia, European Investment Bank, Gino Magnini, European Investment Bank, Cambridge Econometrics
Discussant: Gaaitzen de Vries, RUG
s3
9.10- 10.40
Parallel Session A3 (Duinzaal (upstairs))
Focus on Dutch Experience
Chair: Nina Brehl, DIW Berlin
Transmission of Trade Shocks in the Dutch Production Network
Robin Konietzny, Dio Limpens, Dennis Dahlmans, Marcel van den Berg, CBS – Statistics Netherlands
Import Dependencies of Dutch Firms
Daan Freeman, Merve Mavus-Kütük, Benjamin Wache, CPB
Ripple effects of carbon pricing in Dutch production networks
Laura Egelmeers, Utrecht University, Inge van den Bijgaart, Utrecht University, Arjan Trinks, CPB, Vincent Schippers, CPB, Stan Olijslagers, CPB
Discussant: Riccardo Pesci, Prometeia S.p.a.
s4
11.10 - 12.40
Parallel Session B1 (Braamzaal & Zeedistelzaal (downstairs))
Macroeconomic Issues
Chair: tba
Fiscal Capacity Investments in a Monetary Union
Dennis Bonam, De Nederlandsche Bank, Marien Ferdinandusse, European Central Bank, Pascal Jacquinot, European Central Bank
To Cap or Not to Cap? Energy Crises in a Currency Union
Momo Komatsu, Federal Reserve Board
Spatial Redistribution of Carbon Taxes
Lennard Schlattmann, University of Bonn and ECONtribute
Discussant: Henri Sterdyniak
s5
11.10 - 12.40
Parallel Session B2 (Helmgraszaal (downstairs))
Global Value Chains (II)
Chair: Marek Dabrowski, CASE
Digital Chokepoints: The Geoeconomics of Telecom Networks, 1850-2025
Michael Porcellacchia, Kiel Institut, Christoph Trebesch, Kiel Institut and CEPR, Benjamin Wache, CPB and Kiel Institut
Critical Minerals in an Age of Geopolitical Rivalry: Stockpiling, Refining Constraints, and the Limits of Friend-Shoring
Jamel Saadaoui, Paris 8 University; Russell Smyth, Monash University, Australian National University, Joaquin Vespignani, University of Tasmania, Australian National University; Yitian Wang, Monash University.
Dependencies in Global Value Chains: New Evidence based on value added trade statistics
Bart Los, University of Groningen, Marcel Timmer, University of Groningen, CPB, Gaaitzen de Vries, University of Groningen
Discussant: Juan Duran, ESRI
s6
11.10 - 12.40
Parallel Session B3 (Duinzaal (upstairs))
Skills and Migration
Chair: Catherine Mathieu, OFCE
Market Power and the Decline of the Labor Share in Danish Manufacturing
Jonas Ehn Bødker and Eva Rye Johanse, The secretariat of the Danish Economic Councils
Stay or leave? An Analysis of the Length of Stay of Labour migrants and the Role of their Partners
Govert Bijwaard, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), Merve Mavus Kütük, CPB, Nghia Phan, CPB, Bert van Stiphout-Kramer, CPB, Jackline Wahba, University of Southampton
Exploring the Skill Shortage in the Austria Labour Market: Reasons, Rewards and Effects
Sandra Bilek-Steindl, Julia Bock-Schappelwein and Thomas Url, WIFO
Discussant: tba
s7
14.50 - 16.50
Parallel Session C1 (Braamzaal & Zeedistelzaal (downstairs))
Productivity
Chair: tba
The Links between Sectoral and Regional Investment and Sectoral, Regional, and Aggregate Productivity in the United Kingdom
Antonio Haro-Banon, Fergus Jimenez-England, Monica G. Michail, Stephen Millard, NIESR
R&D Decisions and Productivity Growth: Evidence from Switzerland and the Netherlands
Sabien Dobbelaere, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Tinbergen Institute (TI), Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER); Michael König, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, TI, ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute, CEPR, Andrin Specha, ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute and Martin Woerter, ETH Zurich - KOF Swiss Economic Institute, Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)
Dynamics, Productivity, and Innovation in the Dutch Economy,
Yvonne Adema, Leon Bettendorf, Emiel van Bezooijen, Daan Freeman, Benjamin Wache, CPB
Productivity Implications of the Move to Net Zero
Sandra Batten, Bank of England and Durham University Business School; Stephen Millard, NIESR, Durham University Business School and Centre for Macroeconomics
Discussant: Tero Kuusi, ETLA
s8
14.50 - 16.50
Parallel Session C2 (Helmgraszaal (downstairs))
Labour Markets
Chair: Bert van Stiphout-Kramer, CPB
Employment Protection, Adjustment Costs, and Technology Adoption
Erik Canton, European Commission
Modelling the Dynamic Effects of Inequality
Ed Cornforth and Tibor Szendrei, NIESR
Structural Change and Hysteresis Effects on the Labour Market
Michael Göschl, Institute for Employment Research (IAB), FAU University Erlangen/Nuremberg; Christian Hutter, IAB; Enzo Weber, IAB, University of Regensburg
Wage Markups and Buyer Power in Intermediate Input Markets
Leonard Treuren, KU Leuven
Discussant: tba
s9
14.50 - 16.50
Parallel Session C3 (Duinzaal (upstairs))
Industrial Policies
Chair: Sarah Guillou, OFCE
Programmes of Collaboration and Joint Ventures in the European Defence Industrial Base: Network Evidence and Policy Implications
Leonardo Catani, Pietro Corsi, Riccado Pesci, Prometeia S.p.A.
Is Place-Based Green Industrial Policy Effective? Evidence from the Inflation Reduction Act
Joep Keuzenkamp, Utrecht University, Jacopo Mazza, Utrecht University, Bob Rijkers, World Bank, Katherine Stapleton, World Bank
Tournament Industrial Policy: China's Subnational Competition for Hydrogen Leadership
Benno Schoel, Finn Ole Semrau, Jian Zhang, Kiel Institut
Cascading Transformation: Estimating the Effects of Green Government Spending through the Production Network,
Jan-Erik Thie
Discussant: Francis Weyzig, CPB
rt
17.00 - 18.20
Round Table (Braamzaal & Zeedistelzaal (downstairs))
Chair: Marcel Timmer, CPB
Erik Canton, European Commission
Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Kiel Institut
Sarah Guillou, OFCE
Stephen Millard, NIESR